Wells Fargo Survey: business owners show strong optimism, confidence in economy
In contrast, over half of business owners see little impact from tax reform in 2018, other highlights include interest in credit and shifting challenges.
SAN FRANCISCO – May 6, 2019 – Optimism among small business owners is strong, according to the latest quarterly Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index conducted April 1-5. The survey also revealed that over half of business owners reported little impact to their tax situation along with a rising interest in credit.
Strong overall optimism correlated with high levels of confidence in present and future financial situations as well, with scores of 62 and 67 respectively. Additional indicators that typically drive higher optimism had strong showings as well. Fifty-two percent of respondents described revenues as increasing over the past twelve months, while 74 percent said the same of the previous year’s cash flow rating. Estimates of these indicators over the next twelve months also had strong scores, with 58 percent of respondents expecting gains in revenues while 79 percent expect a somewhat or very good cash flow rating. When asked how they would rate the current state of the national economy 63% responded it is either “good” or “excellent.”
“What we’re hearing from business owners regarding their revenues and cash flow are encouraging indicators, particularly in a time when many are looking closely at their finances for tax season,” said Andy Rowe, Wells Fargo head of Customer Segments. “Combining these insights with their overall outlook on the economy and a healthy interest in obtaining credit paints a promising picture for businesses as they move forward through 2019.”
This quarter’s survey specifically looked at how small business owners felt about their tax situation a year after the reformed tax regulations took effect. Nearly half of business owners (48 percent) indicated that the recent legislation had little effect on their 2018 taxes, while 51 percent said the same regarding impacts to their business overall. When asked how their total tax bill for 2018 would be impacted, 56 percent said it would be about the same as expected, while 22 percent predicted higher and 12 percent said lower.
Access to Credit
Another aspect which correlated with strong optimism was access to credit. 53 percent of business owners indicated that credit was somewhat or very easy to obtain in the last twelve months, with the exact same number predicting this level of ease in obtaining credit in the coming twelve months. In addition, only 1 percent of respondents indicated credit availability as the top challenge they are facing. Also, over one quarter of small business owners (26 percent) indicated they were interested in applying for a new credit product (such as a loan, business credit card or line of credit) in the next twelve months.
Top challenge: Attracting new business
Attracting new business is the top challenge for small business owners, with 11 percent of owners indicating it as the leading issue. In addition, 10 percent of owners cited hiring as the top challenge, which tied with taxes, in keeping with the timing of the survey, and with competition from competitors/larger corporations.
Financial stability was also cited by 10 percent of respondents, followed by government regulations, which were cited by seven percent.
As the landscape of small business ownership and operation has shifted, specifically with the rise of digital/online facets, the Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index has recently shifted its methodology from the previous phone-based surveying to a web-based model. This change was made to reflect the reality of how businesses and their owners operate and to mitigate any biases in the types of businesses owners responding, as well as the responses themselves.
“Having surveyed the small business landscape for more than 15 years, the Small Business Index provides valuable insight into current and future perceptions of business owners,” said Doug Case, Small Business Segment Strategy and Design, Wells Fargo. “These recent updates reflect our interest in ensuring that the index accurately represents small business owner sentiment and providing the business communities with relevant information and resources.”
Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index Scores: Q2 2018 – Q2 2019
|Overall Index Score||Present Situation||Future Expectations|
|Q2 2019 (surveyed April 2019)*||129||62||67|
|Q1 2019 (surveyed January 2019)||106||46||60|
|Q4 2018 (surveyed November 2018)||129||59||70|
|Q3 2018 (surveyed July 2018)||118||52||66|
|Q2 2018 (surveyed April 2018)||106||45||61|
*Using updated web-based surveying methodology. Results from the web mode are not directly comparable to the prior phone survey.
About the Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index
Since August 2003, the Wells Fargo/Gallup Small Business Index has surveyed small business owners on current and future perceptions of their business financial situation. The Index consists of two dimensions: 1) Owners’ ratings of the current situation of their businesses and, 2) Owners’ ratings of how they expect their businesses to perform over the next 12 months. Results are based on web-based surveying with 600 small business owners, with annual revenues up to $20 million, in all 50 United States conducted April 1-5, 2019. The overall Small Business Index is computed using a formula that scores and sums the answers to 12 questions — six about the present situation and six about the future. An Index score of zero indicates that small business owners, as a group, are neutral – neither optimistic nor pessimistic – about their companies’ situations. The overall Index can range from -400 (the most negative score possible) to +400 (the most positive score possible), but in practice spans a much more limited range.
About Wells Fargo
Wells Fargo & Company (NYSE: WFC) is a diversified, community-based financial services company with $1.9 trillion in assets. Wells Fargo’s vision is to satisfy our customers’ financial needs and help them succeed financially. Founded in 1852 and headquartered in San Francisco, Wells Fargo provides banking, investment and mortgage products and services, as well as consumer and commercial finance, through 7,700 locations, more than 13,000 ATMs, the internet (wellsfargo.com) and mobile banking, and has offices in 32 countries and territories to support customers who conduct business in the global economy. With approximately 262,000 team members, Wells Fargo serves one in three households in the United States. Wells Fargo & Company was ranked No. 26 on Fortune’s 2018 rankings of America’s largest corporations. News, insights and perspectives from Wells Fargo are also available at Wells Fargo Stories.
Wells Fargo serves approximately 3 million small business owners across the United States and loans more money to America’s small businesses than any other bank (loans under $1 million, 2002-2017 Community Reinvestment Act government data). To help more small businesses achieve financial success, Wells Fargo introduced Wells Fargo Works for Small Business® – a broad initiative to deliver resources, guidance and services for business owners. For more information about Wells Fargo Works for Small Business, visit: WellsFargoWorks.com. Follow us on Twitter @WellsFargoWorks.
For more than 70 years, Gallup has been a recognized leader in the measurement and analysis of people’s attitudes, opinions and behavior. While best known for the Gallup Poll, founded in 1935, Gallup’s current activities consist largely of providing marketing and management research, advisory services and education to the world’s largest corporations and institutions.